Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-124/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has successfully made 60.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 22.2% higher than he's made in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Chris Paul comes in at the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 28.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Spurs rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
In contrast to last season's 75.1% clip, Chris Paul's free-throw efficiency has risen this season to 89.9%.

Favors Under

The matchup against Sacramento is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Kings have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 9th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chris Paul will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production for all stats.

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