Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2025

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers · Jan 29, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 1:00 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has averaged 29.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one for field goals; when the Clippers are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 7th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (45.6%).
The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
In contrast to last year's 75.1% mark, Chris Paul's foul-shot ability has increased this year to 94.6%.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 2.3 mark, Chris Paul's failed threes have risen this season to 3.1 per game.
The Clippers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce plays for the Spurs.

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