Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Bucks is a favorable one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (21.7).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Chris Paul has made 95.0% of his foul shots without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.6 free throws per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has failed to convert 3.1 three-point shots per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 76th percentile for misses .
When it comes to offense, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 107.5 points per game away from home settles in as the 7th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Spurs have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
Chris Paul will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player performance across the board.

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