Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the league, Chris Paul places in the 98th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with an exceptional 97.6% rate this year.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 foul shots per game (4th-most in the league) against the Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Spurs rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.
The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).

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