Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 1:45 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Spurs.
Chris Paul has made 93.8% of his foul shots when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goals (weakest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup.
The 6th-slowest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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