Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Chris Paul slots into the 76th percentile for threes scored, registering 2.0 per game this year.
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The matchup against the Phoenix Suns is a favorable one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 5 games (29.2).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 11 games in their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Spurs.
Chris Paul has converted a terrific 100.0% of his foul shots this season, a sizeable increase from his 75.1 rate last season.

Favors Under

The 10th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Chris Paul is expected to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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