My Account Log Out

reorder

Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2024

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 10th-best in the league as the visting team with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Relative to last year's 75.1% rate, Chris Paul's foul-shot efficiency has jumped this year to 100.0%.

Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 7.8 free throws per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Kings, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Chris Paul rates in the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off-target 3-pointers, registering a massive 3.2 per game this year.

In regard to shooting, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 104.7 points per game while playing away from home rates 5th-lowest in the NBA this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 30.6% on three-pointers (9th-weakest in the league) against the Kings, labeling this as a tough matchup.

The Spurs are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Chris Paul figures to see a decline in production for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

More Chris Paul Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™