Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 16, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Chris Paul has successfully made an impressive 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 75.1 rate last year.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Spurs's poor 102.4 points per game away from home comes in as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Mavericks are at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Spurs will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Mavericks).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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