Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 15, 2024

Updated Nov 15, 2024 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
The Spurs have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 12 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Chris Paul has successfully made an impressive 100.0% of his foul shots this year, a significant increase from his 75.1 rate last year.
The matchup against Los Angeles may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Lakers are the visiting squad (4th-most in the NBA).
Chris Paul will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's unimpressive 109.8 points per game comes in as the 9th-fewest in the league this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 5.3 three attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, marking this as a tough matchup.
The 10th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.

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