Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 16, 2024

Updated Apr 17, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Chris Paul has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 24.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has failed to convert 3.2 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's missed from beyond the arc overall this year.
The Golden State Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Golden State Warriors's poor 16.4 foul shots per game settles in as the worst in the league over the last 25 games.
Chris Paul ought to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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