Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has made 48.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 15.4% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
The matchup against the Spurs is a strong one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have put up the highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (50.2%).
The speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Chris Paul has played a mere 26.9 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 32.4 minutes per game last season.
With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's unimpressive 18.1 free throws per game ranks 3rd-worst in the league over the last 25 games.
Chris Paul will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player production for all stats.

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