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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has converted 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from three overall this year.

Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have averaged 107.5 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive performance.

The Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games as the road team.

The Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has attempted 18.8 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has attempted just 7.7 field goals per game this year, quite a bit less than his 11.5 rate last year.

Chris Paul has been on the court for just 27.3 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 32.4 minutes per game last year.

Among all players in the NBA, Chris Paul places in the 82nd percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Golden State Warriors.

Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, their opposition has nabbed 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (saving possessions that can bring about extra chances for offense).

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