Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 2:37 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (20.2).
The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 17 games while playing at home.
The Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, opposing clubs have come down with 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Chris Paul has made 39.1% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 20th percentile among all players in the league.
With respect to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.2% field goal rate as the home team comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.

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