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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (24th percentile).

The Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on their home court, the Sacramento Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Compared to last season's 80.6% mark, Chris Paul's free-throw effectiveness has risen this season to 92.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 43.5% rate, Chris Paul's field goal proficiency has been reduced this year to 38.1%.

Chris Paul has been on the court for a measly 27.7 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 31.9 minutes per game last season.

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have averaged 43.8 buckets per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, resulting in a positive matchup.

This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a monstrous 27.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

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