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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 8 games while playing at home.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the road team with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has successfully made 13.3% of his 3-point shots with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 19th percentile among all players in the league.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 1.6 three-pointers per game (11th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

This year, their opposition has come down with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

Chris Paul will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

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