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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 4/6/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has made 50.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 5.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year while at home.

Chris Paul has averaged 30.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 15 games (14.6).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.

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