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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has posted 13.2 points per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard.

Chris Paul has been on the court for 30.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Spurs is a strong one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have put up the 29th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (47.7%).

The Spurs have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Suns.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Spurs have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 3rd-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 21.7 free throws per game.

The matchup vs. the Spurs is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.0 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the league).

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