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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has made 50.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 5.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court.

Chris Paul has averaged 30.6 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Chris Paul will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually raises player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 15 games (14.6).

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.

Away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 21.6 free throws per game.

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