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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has attempted 11.2 shots per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.

Chris Paul has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a good one for attempts from downtown; when the Lakers are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.7).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to raise possessions for the Suns.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.

While at home, the Lakers have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been bad at getting to the free throw line while playing away from home: worst in the NBA this year, totaling a mere 20.3 free throws per game.

Chris Paul will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance across the board.

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