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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has successfully made 55.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 22.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.

Chris Paul has played 33.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Kings are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 26th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (15.3).

The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Phoenix Suns have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

When playing on the road, the Kings have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Kings may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games (9th-least in the NBA).

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