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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has made 55.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 22.2% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.

Chris Paul has averaged 33.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Thunder is a good one for attempts from downtown; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.4).

The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

When playing away from home, the Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Oklahoma may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.7 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder are away from home (9th-least in the league).

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