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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has made 55.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 22.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.

Chris Paul has tallied 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 88th percentile.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Mavericks is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.1%).

The Mavericks have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's averaged overall this season.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Dallas may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Mavericks have the home court advantage (7th-least in the NBA).

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