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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has successfully made 55.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 22.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Chris Paul has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to more plays for the Suns.

The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's been called for in all games this season.

The matchup against the Bucks is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (15.8).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the league).

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