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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has posted 18.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's posted over the course of the year.

Chris Paul has made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.

Chris Paul has tallied 31.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also create additional chances for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Heat have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (79th percentile).

The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have put up the 4th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (36.9%).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA at home this year.

The Suns have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at drawing fouls on their home court: 9th-worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 23.4 free throw attempts per game.

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