Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2022

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 28, 2022

Updated Dec 28, 2022 9:40 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has made 2.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from three in all games this year.
Chris Paul has attempted 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Chris Paul has tallied 31.6 minutes per game this year on the road, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA over this stretch of games: 84th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which can also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Chris Paul has converted a measly 41.9% of his field goals this season, quite a bit less than his 50.4 rate last season.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at drawing fouls: 4th-worst in the league this year, drawing a measly 21.1 foul shot attempts per game.
The matchup against Monte Morris may be a tough one for shots from the field; when guarding fellow starting PGs, they have sunk a lowly 40.7% of their field goal attempts this year (93rd percentile).
Chris Paul will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player production across the board.

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