Chris Paul Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 26, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 11:43 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has compiled a mere 7.0 assists per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 8.7 assists per game last season.
In comparison to last season's 32.4 clip, Chris Paul's playing time has dropped this season to 26.5 minutes per game.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Chris Paul will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

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