Chris Paul Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 24, 2024

Updated Mar 24, 2024 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out best in in the league with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has compiled a measly 7.0 assists per game this season, significantly lower than his 8.7 assists per game last season.
Relative to last season's 32.4 rate, Chris Paul's playing time has been reduced this season to 26.7 minutes per game.
Chris Paul has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).
Chris Paul ought to suffer a drop-off in output across the board due to playing away from home in this game.

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