Chris Paul Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chris Paul will likely see a rise in productivity for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has compiled a measly 7.1 assists per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 8.7 assists per game last season.
The Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Warriors.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has brought down 13.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (saving possessions that can generate more chances for offense).

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