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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Assists
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has averaged 9.0 assists per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's best in this category.

The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Chris Paul will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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