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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Assists
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (24th percentile).

The Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on their home court, the Sacramento Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has put up a lowly 7.7 assists per game this season, quite a bit less than his 8.7 assists per game last season.

Chris Paul has been on the court for a measly 27.7 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 31.9 minutes per game last season.

Chris Paul will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production for all stats.

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