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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Assists
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Chris Paul slots into the 24th percentile for personal fouls, compiling just 1.6 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.

The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul figures to see a spike in performance in all facets of the game due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has compiled a mere 7.3 assists per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 8.7 assists per game last season.

In contrast to last season's 31.9 mark, Chris Paul's playing time has fallen this season to 26.6 minutes per game.

The 6th-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

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