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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Assists
Player Prop - 5/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 86th percentile.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has put up a lowly 8.8 assists per game this year, significantly lower than his 10.4 assists per game last year.

Chris Paul has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Suns.

The Nuggets have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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