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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Assists
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has averaged 10.4 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.

Chris Paul has played 33.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

When playing on the road, the Kings have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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