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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Assists
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-175/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has compiled 10.4 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Chris Paul has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

The Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.

At home, the Bulls have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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