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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Assists
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has totaled 10.4 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.

Chris Paul has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to more plays for the Suns.

The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's been called for in all games this season.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces stat production across the board.

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