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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Assists
Player Prop - 1/28/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has played 31.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 82nd percentile.

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court (which can also provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Suns have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise opportunities for the Spurs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has totaled a lowly 8.6 assists per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 10.4 assists per game last season.

Chris Paul has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (77th percentile).

The Spurs have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games while on their home court (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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