Chris Boucher Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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Chris Boucher

NBA · Player Props

Chris Boucher

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 11:04 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Boucher Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-146/+114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pistons).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have come down with 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Chris Boucher has totaled just 1.1 offensive rebounds per game this year, significantly lower than his 2.0 offensive rebounds per game last year.
Chris Boucher has played 13.8 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 22nd percentile.
Chris Boucher has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
Chris Boucher will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

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