Chris Boucher Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Chris Boucher

NBA · Player Props

Chris Boucher

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 4:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Boucher Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Boucher has compiled 2.0 offensive rebounds per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
The Spurs have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Chris Boucher has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs (maintaining possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).
Chris Boucher will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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