Chris Boucher Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Chris Boucher

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs LA Clippers · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 12:42 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Boucher Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Boucher has sunk 50.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.2% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing at home.
The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a tough one for field goals; their opposition has shot for the 8th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (46.6%).
The Raptors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chris Boucher has converted 83.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 7.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the season at home.
Chris Boucher should see an increase in production across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chris Boucher comes in at the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, totaling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to shooting, the Raptors's poor 112.7 points per game playing at home comes in as the 3rd-fewest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league playing at home this year.
The Clippers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Raptors.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).