Chris Boucher Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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Chris Boucher

NBA · Player Props

Chris Boucher

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 11:14 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Boucher Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pistons).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have come down with 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).
Chris Boucher has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Chris Boucher has made just 2.1 buckets per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.4 rate last year.
Chris Boucher has played 13.8 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 22nd percentile.
Chris Boucher has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Toronto Raptors's unimpressive 33.4% rate of drained threes comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This matchup is a positive one for 3-point shots; opposing squads have posted the 6th-highest three rate in the NBA over the last 20 games (38.8%).

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