Chris Boucher Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Chris Boucher

NBA · Player Props

Chris Boucher

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:23 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Boucher Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Chris Boucher slots into the 21st percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.1 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to extra opportunities for offense).
Chris Boucher will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Chris Boucher comes in at the 24th percentile for three-point proficiency with a a subpar 27.1% rate this year.
Chris Boucher has played 14.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 25th percentile -- ranking among the least-used players in the NBA.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing teams have averaged 36.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a positive matchup.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

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