Chris Boucher Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Chris Boucher

NBA · Player Props

Chris Boucher

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:27 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Boucher Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-116/-111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chris Boucher has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.9% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 21.0 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).
Chris Boucher will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Chris Boucher has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This matchup is a good one for threes; opposing teams have averaged the 2nd-most treys per game in the league this year (13.3).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Raptors.

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