Chris Boucher Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

NBA · Player Props

Chris Boucher

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 3:38 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Boucher Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Boucher has sunk 66.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% more than he's made in all games this season while playing on the road.
Chris Boucher has converted 47.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 20.4% higher than he's made overall this year.
This matchup is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; their opposition have averaged the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games when the Lakers are on their home court (30.2).
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Playing at home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a good one for getting to the free throw line; when the Lakers are on their home court, opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 23.9 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).
Chris Boucher will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production for all stats.