Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2025

Updated May 11, 2025 7:34 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 7.4 defensive boards per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.
Chet Holmgren has played 27.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Chet Holmgren stands to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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