Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 20, 2025

Updated Apr 20, 2025 5:19 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has averaged 6.5 defensive boards per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 96th percentile.
The quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the speediest tempo offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
Chet Holmgren figures to see a spike in productivity for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

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