Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has averaged 7.6 defensive boards per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Phoenix Suns).
The Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player production for all stats.

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