Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 16, 2025

Updated Mar 17, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has averaged 7.8 defensive rebounds per game on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.
The Thunder have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren stands to see a decline in performance in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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