Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/30/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs · Oct 30, 2024

Updated Oct 31, 2024 1:39 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has put up 6.4 defensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 94th percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Thunder will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Spurs).
Chet Holmgren will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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