Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 9, 2024

Updated May 10, 2024 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has put up 2.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.7 more than he's put up over the course of the year at home.
Chet Holmgren has tallied 29.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Chet Holmgren figures to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.3 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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