Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 3, 2024

Updated Apr 3, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 6.3 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the league's best in this category over this stretch.
Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 29.9 minutes per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Chet Holmgren will likely suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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